Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tristan Schoolkate		Beibit Zhukayev

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.45
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.55	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
61.4%

Beibit Zhukayev
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev Predictions

Users Predictions: Tristan Schoolkate will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tristan Schoolkate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 100. Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 210.

In recent matches, Schoolkate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhukayev is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schoolkate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schoolkate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW
- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0
17.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Jie Cui	✺

Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev