Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
			Watch
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
56.1%

Bernard Tomic
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tomic will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 95. Tomic is ranked ATP: 165.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schoolkate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schoolkate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Omar Jasika - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tsung-Hao Huang - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Yaojie Zeng - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Bernard Tomic - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0
ATP Australian Open
12.01.21	Bernard Tomic - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1

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