Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday


	Yibing Wu		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.04	1.78
	2	1.78
	2.09	1.82
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (3.05)	1.79 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
46.8%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yibing Wu's performance.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yibing Wu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49%	0%	51%

Yibing Wu - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 25 - 49%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 26 - 51%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 37.3% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Yibing Wu - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.23	Yibing Wu - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.23	Yibing Wu - John Isner	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Yibing Wu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 W?WWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Malek Jaziri - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
23.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

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