Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Yibing Wu		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.49	1.59
	2.40	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.18)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
37.7%

Sebastian Korda
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Korda will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Korda will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 196. Korda is ranked ATP: 79.

Wu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Korda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Korda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Korda will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Jerome Kym - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Yibing Wu - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Yibing Wu - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Adam Walton - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.25	Sebastian Korda - Marton Fucsovics	Fucsovics M. walkover ✺
21.08.25	Sebastian Korda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 W??WW

Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide