Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.40	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.03	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.61)	1.79 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
46.6%

Yibing Wu
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Mannarino's form might have worsened.

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yibing Wu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yibing Wu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Adrian Mannarino - Yibing Wu Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Wu will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adrian Mannarino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53. Wu is ranked ATP: 196.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mannarino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Jiri Lehecka	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Ben Shelton - Adrian Mannarino	Shelton B. retired ✺
27.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 L?WWL
- Yibing Wu
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Jerome Kym - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Luca Van Assche - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Yibing Wu - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Yibing Wu - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Yibing Wu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
10.02.23	Yibing Wu - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

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