The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yoshihito Nishioka 61.2%
Christian Garin 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.7%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yoshihito Nishioka's form might have worsened.
Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yoshihito Nishioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
0%
19%
Yoshihito Nishioka - Christian Garin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Yoshihito Nishioka will win
(34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Nishioka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Garin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nishioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Nishioka will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.