Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.09	1.71
	2.21	1.73
	2.26	1.63	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.75)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
40.2%

Daniel Altmaier
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Altmaier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Altmaier will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yosuke Watanuki will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 159. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 56.

Watanuki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Altmaier is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Watanuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Altmaier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Jake Fellows - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu	Shimizu Y. walkover ✺
15.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Karue Sell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLW?W
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Altmaier	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.11.21	Daniel Altmaier - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2

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