Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.61	2.19
	1.68	2.36
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	2.26 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
58.1%

Yosuke Watanuki
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 91. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 147.

Svrcina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Watanuki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Svrcina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svrcina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svrcina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.8%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Hanyi Liu - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2

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