Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.72
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	2.08	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	1.76 (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
46.2%

Daniel Altmaier
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Altmaier will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Arnaldi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 61. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 46.

Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rinky Hijikata	Hijikata R. walkover ✺
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WLLW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Metz
06.11.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	Gaston H. retired ✺
04.11.25	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
21.07.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier	2:1

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