Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Billy Harris

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.86
	1.98	1.86
	1.92	1.80	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.68)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
50.3%

Billy Harris
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yosuke Watanuki's form might have worsened.

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billy Harris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Yosuke Watanuki - Billy Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Harris will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 148. Harris is ranked ATP: 133.

Watanuki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Harris has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Watanuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Billy Harris - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Hanyi Liu - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Billy Harris
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Valentin Royer - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Taro Daniel - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Billy Harris - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Liam Draxl - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Yosuke Watanuki - Billy Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide