Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.41	3.04
	1.42	2.84	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.42	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	2.78 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
66.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Yosuke Watanuki - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kachmazov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 213. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 185.

Two players are playing changeable.

Watanuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Watanuki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	James McCabe - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Terence Atmane - Alibek Kachmazov	Atmane T. retired ✺
16.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.08.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0

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