Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Yue Yuan		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.25	1.21
			Watch
			Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.24	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (2.88)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yue Yuan
22%

Elise Mertens
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yue Yuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yue Yuan's form might have worsened.

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elise Mertens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yue Yuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elise Mertens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Yue Yuan - Elise Mertens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Mertens (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6 Games - Yuan (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elise Mertens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elise Mertens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Yuan (votes: 1 - 20%). Mertens (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yuan is ranked WTA: 84. Mertens is ranked WTA: 25.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mertens is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yuan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yue Yuan
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Kimberly Birrell - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Yue Yuan - Carson Branstine	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Yue Yuan - Joy De Zeeuw	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Maria Sakkari - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Lois Boisson - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Diana Shnaider - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
30.09.23	Yue Yuan - Elise Mertens	2:1

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