Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Kimberly Birrell		Yue Yuan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.16	1.62
	2.23	1.7
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberly Birrell
43%

Yue Yuan
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberly Birrell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Kimberly Birrell - Yue Yuan Predictions

Users Predictions: Yue Yuan will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yue Yuan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Birrell is ranked WTA: 82. Yuan is ranked WTA: 111.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yuan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birrell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kimberly Birrell
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Panna Udvardy - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Kimberly Birrell - Mika Stojsavljevic	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Kimberly Birrell - Harriet Dart	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Kimberly Birrell - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LLW
- Yue Yuan
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Yue Yuan - Anna Blinkova	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Lulu Sun - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Linda Klimovicova - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
17.03.26	Kimberly Birrell - Yue Yuan	2:1
WTA Hertogenbosch
12.06.25	Kimberly Birrell - Yue Yuan	0:2
WTA Austin
24.02.25	Yue Yuan - Kimberly Birrell	0:2

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