Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Zdenek Kolar		Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.15
	1.42	2.92
	1.32	3.05	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.84)	2.88 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
66.9%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zdenek Kolar's performance.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zdenek Kolar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Zdenek Kolar - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kolar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aguilar Cardozo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Aguilar Cardozo (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Aguilar Cardozo (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 224. Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 675.

Kolar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Zdenek Kolar - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Tristan Boyer - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWWW

Zdenek Kolar - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide