Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKKAICHI (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Zdenek Kolar		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.64	2.31
	1.64	2.31
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.18	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	2.44 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
60.4%

Mathys Erhard
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zdenek Kolar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Zdenek Kolar - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: Zdenek Kolar will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

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Preview

Kolar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Erhard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kolar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kolar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kolar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Zdenek Kolar - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Jason Jung - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Zdenek Kolar - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Zdenek Kolar - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
22.11.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
20.11.23	Colin Sinclair - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Mathys Erhard - Hibiki Arimoto	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Mathys Erhard - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Mathys Erhard - Zdenek Kolar	0:2

Zdenek Kolar - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide