Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	1.93	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
48.2%

Zdenek Kolar
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nicolas Mejia - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Mejia will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Mejia will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 169. Kolar is ranked ATP: 176.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mejia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Zdenek Kolar - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Nicolas Mejia - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWW?

Nicolas Mejia - Zdenek Kolar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide