Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Zeynep Sonmez		Cristina Bucsa

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.47
	1.57	2.61
	1.56	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.81)	2.48 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zeynep Sonmez
61.5%

Cristina Bucsa
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zeynep Sonmez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zeynep Sonmez's performance.

Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cristina Bucsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zeynep Sonmez than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zeynep Sonmez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cristina Bucsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Zeynep Sonmez - Cristina Bucsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sonmez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bucsa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonmez: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonmez is ranked WTA: 67. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 30.

Sonmez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bucsa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bucsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sonmez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Zeynep Sonmez - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.37%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Victoria Pohle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW
- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Cristina Bucsa	Bucsa C. retired ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Cristina Bucsa - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
01.03.26	Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Merida
27.02.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Cristina Bucsa	0:2

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