Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.6	2.48
	1.6	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.58	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
60.2%

Bu Yunchaokete
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Zhizhen Zhang - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 48. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 124.

Zhang is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Yunchaokete is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zhang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zhang will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jack Draper	Zhang Z. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWW?L
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWW?L

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