Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.47	Watch
	2.72	1.52
	2.7	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.75)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
36%

Karen Khachanov
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Khachanov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 124. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 23.

Yunchaokete is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yunchaokete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Casper Ruud - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LLL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

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