Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Zizou Bergs		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	2.04	1.75	Watch
	1.80	2.01	Watch
			Watch
	2.09	1.76	Watch
	2.06	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.5)	1.82 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
47.8%

Juncheng Shang
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zizou Bergs's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Shang will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shang (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Bergs (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shang (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 46. Shang is ranked ATP: 138.

In recent matches, Bergs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bergs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jaume Munar - Zizou Bergs	3:0 ✺
28.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jack Draper	Bergs Z. walkover ✺
25.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Chun Hsin Tseng	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWL?W
- Juncheng Shang
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Juncheng Shang - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	Shang J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?LL??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
27.10.24	Juncheng Shang - Zizou Bergs	2:1
ATP Roma
07.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	2:0

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