Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Jaume Munar		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.76	Watch
	1.44	3.03
	1.43	2.84	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.73)	2.86 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
66.6%

Zizou Bergs
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaume Munar's performance.

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zizou Bergs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaume Munar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Jaume Munar - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Jaume Munar will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jaume Munar will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Munar is ranked ATP: 44. Bergs is ranked ATP: 48.

Munar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bergs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Munar is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.25	Jaume Munar - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jack Draper	Bergs Z. walkover ✺
25.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Chun Hsin Tseng	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?WLLW

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