Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Zizou Bergs		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.22	Watch
	4.3	1.23	Watch
	4.52	1.24
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.2)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
22.4%

Tommy Paul
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zizou Bergs's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zizou Bergs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Zizou Bergs - Tommy Paul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 47. Paul is ranked ATP: 24.

Bergs has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Delray Beach
22.02.26	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Adam Walton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches