Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Zsombor Piros		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.8
	2.1	1.76
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.86)	1.75 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
46.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zsombor Piros - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Piros will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Piros is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
24.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Zsombor Piros - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
15.03.23	Daniel Michalski - Zsombor Piros	Michalski D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWL?
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Lukas Klein - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Lloyd Harris - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LL?LW

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