Match Info

Nations League

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Poland	Polsat, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Japan		Poland

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.68
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	2.4 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
60.9%

Poland
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Japan - Poland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 Sets - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Japan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


21. Eiro M.	32. Bakaj M.
23. Evbade-Dan L. I.	13. Ciunajtis J.
3. Fukatsu H.	96. Firlej J.
15. Kai M.	19. Firszt B.
4. Miyaura K.	27. Gierzot M.
1. Nishida Y.	50. Gomulka B.
17. Nishimoto K.	18. Granieczny M.
13. Ogawa T.	34. Jakubiszak S.
5. Otsuka T.	7. Lemanski B.
10. Takahashi K.	17. Majchrzak J.
12. Takahashi R. (C)	24. Markiewicz A.
11. Tomita S.	1. Nasevich A.
20. Yamamoto T.	11. Sliwka A. (C)
6. Yamauchi A.	58. Zych B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1.

Poland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Japan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Japan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 8:41. (average 0.6:2.9).

Outrights of Nations League Volleyball for now

Poland: 19.16% Japan: 7.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
10.06.26	Ukraine - Japan	0:3 ✺
World Championship Volleyball
17.09.25	Japan - Libya	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Japan - Canada	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Japan - Turkey	0:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
31.07.25	Japan - Poland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL
- Poland volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
11.06.26	Slovenia - Poland	3:2 ✺
10.06.26	Cuba - Poland	0:3 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
23.05.26	Poland - Bulgaria	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Poland - Ukraine	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Poland - Serbia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
31.07.25	Japan - Poland	0:3
12.06.25	Poland - Japan	3:1
Friendly International Volleyball
20.07.24	Poland - Japan	2:3
Nations League Volleyball
07.06.24	Japan - Poland	0:3
22.07.23	Japan - Poland	1:3
09.07.23	Japan - Poland	0:3
Friendly International Volleyball
02.06.23	Japan - Poland	1:3

Japan - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide