Match Info

Serie A1 Women - 5th-12th places - Round 6

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Macerata		Busto Arsizio

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.65	1.38
	2.74	1.42
	2.78	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.65	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macerata
35%

Busto Arsizio
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macerata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Busto Arsizio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macerata than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macerata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busto Arsizio than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busto Arsizio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Macerata - Busto Arsizio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Macerata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Busto Arsizio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Macerata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Busto Arsizio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macerata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Macerata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Volleyball Women for now

UYBA Busto Arsizio W: 1.55% Macerata W: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	UYBA Busto Arsizio W	1	0	1	2:3	1
10	Macerata W	1	0	1	1:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roana CBF HR Macerata
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
28.03.26	Macerata - Fenera Chieri	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Fenera Chieri - Macerata	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Macerata - Azzurra Volley San Casciano	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Azzurra Volley San Casciano - Macerata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- UYBA Busto Arsizio
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
04.04.26	Busto Arsizio - Fenera Chieri	3:0 ✺
30.03.26	Busto Arsizio - Azzurra Volley San Casciano	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Fenera Chieri - Busto Arsizio	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Azzurra Volley San Casciano - Busto Arsizio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
22.03.26	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	3:2
17.01.26	Macerata - Busto Arsizio	0:3
02.11.25	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	1:3
19.03.23	Macerata - Busto Arsizio	3:1
04.12.22	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	3:0

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