Match Info
Campeonato Nacional - Losers stage - Round 2Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Madalena |
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Castêlo da Maia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.68 |
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2 |
Watch |
 |
1.79 |
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2.05 |
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 |
1.69 |
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2.01 |
Watch |
 |
1.66 |
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2.04 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.66) |
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2.03 ↑ (2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Madalena 54.3% | Castêlo da Maia 45.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Madalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Castêlo da Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madalena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castêlo da Maia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Madalena - Castêlo da Maia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Madalena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Castêlo da Maia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Madalena has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Madalena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Madalena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Castelo Maia GC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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| 11 | Madalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;