Match Info

A1 - Round 22

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Ortigia		Trieste

	1	X	2
	2.8	7.47	1.69
	2.7	8	1.6
	2.65	7.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)	7.66 ↓ (8.05)	1.67 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ortigia
33.5%

Draw
11.9%

Trieste
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

11.3%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

11.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ortigia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ortigia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ortigia - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:15

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Trieste might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 190:201. (average 10:10.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ortigia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 73:68. (average 9.1:8.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
7	Ortigia	2	1	0	1	23:27	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7% Ortigia: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.04.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Ortigia	17:21 ✺
28.03.26	Ortigia - Brescia	10:21 ✺
14.03.26	Olympic Roma - Ortigia	10:9 ✺
07.03.26	Ortigia - Roma Vis Nova	5:15 ✺
28.02.26	Ortigia - De Akker Bologna	17:16 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW
- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.04.26	Trieste - Savona	17:19 ✺
28.03.26	Florentia - Trieste	16:19 ✺
14.03.26	Trieste - Quinto	21:20 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Trieste	21:20 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Trieste - Posillipo	15:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
23.11.25	Trieste - Ortigia	20:15
04.04.25	Trieste - Ortigia	15:10
15.01.25	Ortigia - Trieste	10:12
02.03.24	Ortigia - Trieste	13:8
11.11.23	Trieste - Ortigia	13:16
Euro Cup Water Polo
19.10.23	Trieste - Ortigia	11:12
Italian A1 Water Polo
04.03.23	Ortigia - Trieste	10:7

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