Match Info

A1 - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Panionios		Ydraikos

	1	X	2
	1.35	8.8	4.42
	1.4	7	4
	1.39	8.2	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	8 ↓ (8.5)	4.12 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
66.3%

Draw
11.4%

Ydraikos
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.1%

10.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

8.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ydraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panionios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ydraikos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ydraikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panionios - Ydraikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:12

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 4.

Recent performances by Panionios have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ydraikos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Panionios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panionios is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 141:98. (average 11.8:8.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Panionios won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 78:50. (average 11.1:7.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Panionios	3	3	0	0	48:28	9
7	Ydraikos	3	2	0	1	31:29	6

Outrights of Greek A1 Water Polo for now

Ydraikos: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios Water Polo Club
Greek A1 Water Polo
20.05.26	Peristeri - Panionios	11:20 ✺
13.05.26	Panionios - Peristeri	14:5 ✺
06.05.26	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	12:13 ✺
Conference Cup Water Polo
03.05.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	15:13 ✺
02.05.26	De Akker Bologna - Panionios	13:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Ydraikos Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
27.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	16:17 penalties ✺
20.05.26	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:8 ✺
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13 ✺
29.04.26	Palaio Faliro - Ydraikos	7:17 ✺
25.04.26	Ydraikos - Glyfada	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
14.12.24	Panionios - Ydraikos	15:9
26.10.24	Ydraikos - Panionios	7:9
19.05.24	Ydraikos - Panionios	10:12
17.05.24	Panionios - Ydraikos	12:7
06.12.23	Ydraikos - Panionios	12:11
04.10.23	Panionios - Ydraikos	14:6
23.11.22	Ydraikos - Panionios	5:19

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