Match Info

A1 - Round 20

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Telimar Palermo		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.45	7.62	3.82
	1.5	6.3	3.45
	1.46	6.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	6.91 ↓ (7.82)	3.69 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telimar Palermo
62.1%

Draw
13.2%

Napoli
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

11.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

11.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telimar Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telimar Palermo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Telimar Palermo - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:11

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Preview

In recent matches, Palermo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Napoli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.

We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:22. (average 12.5:11).

Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Napoli	1	1	0	0	20:14	3
14	Telimar	1	0	0	1	13:14	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Telimar: 0.64% Napoli: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Trieste	21:20 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo	19:13 ✺
21.02.26	Telimar Palermo - Brescia	16:20 ✺
14.02.26	Olympic Roma - Telimar Palermo	10:13 ✺
31.01.26	Telimar Palermo - Roma Vis Nova	15:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLLWW
- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
13.03.26	Napoli - Posillipo	10:11 ✺
07.03.26	De Akker Bologna - Napoli	15:11 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Recco - Napoli	23:3
21.02.26	Napoli - Trieste	6:13 ✺
14.02.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Napoli	14:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
08.11.25	Napoli - Telimar Palermo	14:10
23.11.19	Telimar Palermo - Napoli	15:8

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