Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Arizona Cardinals		New England Patriots

	1	2
	1.36	3.25	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.36	3.24	Watch
	1.36	3.39
	1.36	3.16	Watch
	1.37	3.3
	1.36	3.25
	1.36	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	3.23 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WPRI-Providence-New Bedford, RI)

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Current Win Probability

Arizona Cardinals
70.3%

New England Patriots
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arizona Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arizona Cardinals than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Arizona Cardinals - New England Patriots Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arizona will win (votes: 9 - 75%). New England will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
04:16, Slye J. (Missed Field Goal),
07:42, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
13:39, Williams J. (Touchdown),
13:39, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 3)
12:54, Slye J. (Field Goal),
14:40, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
05:48, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 14)
04:18, Conner J. (Touchdown),
04:18, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
06:46, Douglas D. (Touchdown),
06:46, Slye J. (Extra Point),
11:33, Conner J. (Touchdown),
11:33, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
13:05, Maye D. (Touchdown),
13:05, Slye J. (Extra Point),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent matches Arizona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New England is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New England could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arizona is a favorite.

There will not play in New England: Cotton L. (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arizona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 71:88 (average 17.8:22).

Including matches at home between the teams Arizona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 34:50 (average 17:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arizona Cardinals
NFL
08.12.24	Arizona Cardinals - Seattle Seahawks	18:30 ✺
01.12.24	Minnesota Vikings - Arizona Cardinals	23:22 ✺
24.11.24	Seattle Seahawks - Arizona Cardinals	16:6 ✺
10.11.24	Arizona Cardinals - New York Jets	31:6 ✺
03.11.24	Arizona Cardinals - Chicago Bears	29:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- New England Patriots
NFL
01.12.24	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	24:25 ✺
24.11.24	Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots	34:15 ✺
17.11.24	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Rams	22:28 ✺
10.11.24	Chicago Bears - New England Patriots	3:19 ✺
03.11.24	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	20:17 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
12.12.22	Arizona Cardinals - New England Patriots	13:27
29.11.20	New England Patriots - Arizona Cardinals	20:17
11.09.16	Arizona Cardinals - New England Patriots	21:23
16.09.12	New England Patriots - Arizona Cardinals	18:20

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