Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	UNLV Rebels		Hawaii Warriors

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.71	2.09
	1.71	2.19
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.7	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNLV Rebels
55.6%

Hawaii Warriors
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNLV Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hawaii Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawaii Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

UNLV Rebels - Hawaii Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UNLV will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hawaii will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNLV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 64, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 7)
05:32, Villela R. (Field Goal),
06:44, Harris J. (Touchdown),
06:44, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
11:13, Bradley J. (Touchdown),
11:13, Villela R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
01:23, Lyons T. (Touchdown),
01:23, Villela R. (Extra Point),
09:15, Lee K. (Touchdown),
09:15, Villela R. (Extra Point),
14:55, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (14 - 0)
00:05, Reynolds D. (Touchdown),
00:05, Villela R. (Extra Point),
02:11, Earle J. (Touchdown),
02:11, Villela R. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 3.

Recent performances by UNLV have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hawaii is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hawaii may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 378:389. (average 29.1:29.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UNLV won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 189:135. (average 31.5:22.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNLV Rebels football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	23:26 ✺
08.11.25	Colorado State Rams - UNLV Rebels	10:42 ✺
01.11.25	UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos	35:40 ✺
18.10.25	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	56:31 ✺
11.10.25	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	51:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Hawaii Warriors football
NCAA College Football
08.11.25	Hawaii Warriors - San Diego State Aztecs	38:6 ✺
01.11.25	San Jose State Spartans - Hawaii Warriors	45:38 ✺
18.10.25	Colorado State Rams - Hawaii Warriors	19:31 ✺
11.10.25	Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies	44:26 ✺
27.09.25	Air Force Falcons - Hawaii Warriors	35:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
09.11.24	Hawaii Warriors - UNLV Rebels	27:29
30.09.23	UNLV Rebels - Hawaii Warriors	44:20
19.11.22	Hawaii Warriors - UNLV Rebels	31:25
13.11.21	UNLV Rebels - Hawaii Warriors	27:13
12.12.20	Hawaii Warriors - UNLV Rebels	38:21
16.11.19	UNLV Rebels - Hawaii Warriors	7:21
17.11.18	Hawaii Warriors - UNLV Rebels	35:28

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