Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	UNLV Rebels		New Mexico Lobos

	1	2
	1.56	2.5
	1.58	2.32
	1.50	2.49	Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	2.44 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNLV Rebels
61.4%

New Mexico Lobos
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNLV Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
10:51, Bankston D. (Touchdown),
10:51, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (21 - 24)
00:08, Mapa S. (Touchdown),
00:08, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
02:17, Bankston D. (Touchdown),
02:17, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
06:05, Reynolds D. (Touchdown),
06:05, Villela R. (Extra Point),
11:46, Lee K. (Touchdown),
11:46, Villela R. (Extra Point),
12:40, Gumms V. (Touchdown),
12:40, Villela R. (Extra Point),
13:11, Johnson K. (Touchdown),
13:11, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
14:58, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
04:14, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
06:50, Gumms V. (Touchdown),
06:50, Villela R. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 6)
08:25, Elksnis N. (Touchdown),
08:25, Villela R. (Extra Point),
12:06, McKinney D. (Touchdown),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 4.

UNLV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

New Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

UNLV might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that UNLV will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 289:216. (average 28.9:21.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UNLV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 108:108. (average 21.6:21.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNLV Rebels football
NCAA College Football
18.10.25	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	56:31 ✺
11.10.25	UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons	51:48 ✺
04.10.25	Wyoming Cowboys - UNLV Rebels	17:31 ✺
20.09.25	Miami OH RedHawks - UNLV Rebels	38:41 ✺
06.09.25	UNLV Rebels - UCLA Bruins	30:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- New Mexico Lobos football
NCAA College Football
25.10.25	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	33:14 ✺
18.10.25	New Mexico Lobos - Nevada Wolf Pack	24:22 ✺
11.10.25	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	41:25 ✺
03.10.25	San Jose State Spartans - New Mexico Lobos	35:28 ✺
27.09.25	New Mexico Lobos - New Mexico State Aggies	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.11.23	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	14:56
30.09.22	UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos	31:20
06.11.21	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	17:31
06.10.18	UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos	14:50
17.11.17	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	35:38
01.11.14	UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos	28:31
28.09.13	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	42:56

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