Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 3

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event


	Buffalo Bills		Jacksonville Jaguars

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	2.87	Watch
	1.46	2.91
	1.44	2.81	Watch
	1.43	2.95
	1.44	2.9
	1.44	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	2.88 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
66.7%

Jacksonville Jaguars
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Users Predictions: Buffalo Bills will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (13 - 0)
05:26, Cook J. (Touchdown),
05:26, Bass T. (Missed Extra Point),
11:35, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
11:35, Bass T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (21 - 3)
04:17, Little C. (Field Goal),
08:41, Coleman K. (Touchdown),
08:41, Bass T. (Extra Point),
13:56, Shakir K. (Touchdown),
13:56, Bass T. (Extra Point),
14:41, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
14:41, Bass T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
03:45, Strange B. (Touchdown),
03:45, Little C. (Extra Point),
09:54, Bass T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
07:12, Bass T. (Field Goal),
10:56, Davis R. (Touchdown),
10:56, Bass T. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buffalo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Buffalo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Buffalo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 173-158.

Including matches at home between the teams Buffalo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 106-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
12.09.24	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	10:31 ✺
08.09.24	Buffalo Bills - Arizona Cardinals	34:28 ✺
24.08.24	Buffalo Bills - Carolina Panthers	26:31 ✺
17.08.24	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	3:9 ✺
10.08.24	Buffalo Bills - Chicago Bears	6:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
15.09.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cleveland Browns	13:18 ✺
08.09.24	Miami Dolphins - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:17 ✺
23.08.24	Atlanta Falcons - Jacksonville Jaguars	0:31 ✺
17.08.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:7 ✺
10.08.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	26:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.10.23	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:25
07.11.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	9:6
25.11.18	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:21
07.01.18	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	10:3
27.11.16	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:21
25.10.15	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	34:31
15.12.13	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	20:27

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