Match Info
NFL - Round 6Date: 12 October 2025, SundayLocation: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports+ |
 World | NFL Game Pass |
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New Orleans Saints |
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New England Patriots |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 46.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Orleans Saints
37.3% | New England Patriots
62.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-4.1%)New Orleans Saints - New England Patriots Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 46.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5, OT - New Orleans (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
New England Patriots will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New England Patriots will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 1 - 20%). New England (votes: 4 - 80%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:25 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (6 - 14)
- 02:06, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
- 04:08, Douglas D. (Touchdown),
- 04:08, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
- 09:51, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
- 14:27, Boutte K. (Touchdown),
- 14:27, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (10 - 8)
- 05:18, Hill T. (Touchdown),
- 05:18, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
- 13:05, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
- 14:29, Boutte K. (Touchdown),
- 14:29, Maye D. (Two-Point Conversion),
- 3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
- 07:31, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
- 4th Quarter (3 - 0)
- 01:14, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 2.Recent form of New Orleans has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).New England's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). New England might have a minor edge in this game.There are questionable in New England: Mapu M.
(Neck Injury)
Moses M.
(Foot Injury)In the last 7 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 155:139. (average 22.1:19.9).Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:62. (average 22:31).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 08.10.23 | New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints | 0:34 | | 26.09.21 | New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints | 13:28 | | 17.09.17 | New Orleans Saints - New England Patriots | 20:36 | | 11.08.16 | New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints | 34:22 | | 22.08.15 | New Orleans Saints - New England Patriots | 24:26 | | 13.10.13 | New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints | 30:27 | | 09.08.12 | New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints | N/A |
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