Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Chicago Bears		Washington Commanders

	1	2
	2	1.83	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.97	1.91
	1.99	1.82
	2.05	1.86
	2	1.83	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.95	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: Local Networks Only (TBD Affiliates)

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bears
48.1%

Washington Commanders
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	0%	18.9%

Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders Predictions

Users Predictions: Chicago Bears will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:20

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Chicago has a small chance of recordsim. record (6-11), has currently - 2-3, has a small chance of playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of win division (2%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

Washington has a very small chance of recordsim. record (5-12), has currently - 1-4, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of win division (<0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

This event has very small quality 6, small importance 16, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Chicago is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Washington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 114-125.

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
09.10.22	Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears	29:22 ✺
02.10.22	New York Giants - Chicago Bears	20:12 ✺
25.09.22	Chicago Bears - Houston Texans	23:20 ✺
18.09.22	Green Bay Packers - Chicago Bears	27:10 ✺
11.09.22	Chicago Bears - San Francisco 49ers	19:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW
- Washington Commanders
NFL
09.10.22	Washington Commanders - Tennessee Titans	17:21 ✺
02.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Washington Commanders	25:10 ✺
25.09.22	Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles	8:24 ✺
18.09.22	Detroit Lions - Washington Commanders	36:21 ✺
11.09.22	Washington Commanders - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.09.19	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	15:31
24.12.16	Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders	21:41
13.12.15	Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders	21:24
20.10.13	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	45:41
18.08.12	Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders	N/A

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