Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Hungary	Arena 4


	Cincinnati Bengals		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.25	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.7
	2.22	1.72
	2.16	1.7
	2.21	1.75
	2.25	1.69	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.09	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (KHOUDT ‚Äì Houston, TX)

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bengals
43.7%

Kansas City Chiefs
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	0%	84.4%

Cincinnati Bengals - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: Kansas City Chiefs will win (38 of 45 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.85% – 95.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1).

Cincinnati has currently - 7-4, has a good chance of playoffs (75%), has a chance of win division (28%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (4%).

Kansas City has currently - 9-2, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a very good chance of win division (>99%), has a good chance of 1st-round bye (57%).

This event has very big quality 97, very big importance 91, very big match rating 94. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 2.

Cincinnati is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kansas City is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kansas City to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 203-236.

Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 82-82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
27.11.22	Tennessee Titans - Cincinnati Bengals	16:20 ✺
20.11.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	30:37 ✺
06.11.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Carolina Panthers	42:21 ✺
31.10.22	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	32:13 ✺
23.10.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Atlanta Falcons	35:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
27.11.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Rams	26:10 ✺
20.11.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	27:30 ✺
13.11.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:17 ✺
06.11.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Tennessee Titans	20:17 OT ✺
23.10.22	San Francisco 49ers - Kansas City Chiefs	23:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
30.01.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	24:27 OT
02.01.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Kansas City Chiefs	34:31
10.08.19	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	38:17
21.10.18	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	45:10
19.08.17	Cincinnati Bengals - Kansas City Chiefs	12:30
04.10.15	Cincinnati Bengals - Kansas City Chiefs	36:21
07.08.14	Kansas City Chiefs - Cincinnati Bengals	41:39

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