Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4


	Cincinnati Bengals		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.36	3.4
	1.35	3.25
	1.38	3.31
	1.36	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.22
	1.32	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (WSYX-Columbus, OH)

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bengals
71%

Atlanta Falcons
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bengals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati Bengals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Cincinnati Bengals - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Cincinnati has a small chance of recordsim. record (9-8), has currently - 3-3, has a good chance of playoffs (60%), has a chance of win division (36%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (4%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Atlanta has a small chance of recordsim. record (8-9), has currently - 3-3, has a chance of playoffs (35%), has a chance of win division (18%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.2%), has a very small chance of win league (0.4%).

This event has quality 51, importance 54, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Cincinnati have a series of guest games.

In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 95-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
16.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Cincinnati Bengals	26:30 ✺
09.10.22	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	19:17 ✺
29.09.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Miami Dolphins	27:15 ✺
25.09.22	New York Jets - Cincinnati Bengals	12:27 ✺
18.09.22	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
16.10.22	Atlanta Falcons - San Francisco 49ers	28:14 ✺
09.10.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	21:15 ✺
02.10.22	Atlanta Falcons - Cleveland Browns	23:20 ✺
25.09.22	Seattle Seahawks - Atlanta Falcons	23:27 ✺
18.09.22	Los Angeles Rams - Atlanta Falcons	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
30.09.18	Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals	36:37
14.09.14	Cincinnati Bengals - Atlanta Falcons	24:10
08.08.13	Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals	10:34
16.08.12	Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals	N/A

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