Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Cleveland Browns		Denver Broncos

	1	2
	1.76	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2.05
	1.82	2.08
	1.76	2.07
	1.8	2.13
	1.8	2.05
	1.85	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.41)	2.07 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
53.5%

Denver Broncos
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cleveland Browns's form might have worsened.

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denver Broncos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cleveland Browns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Broncos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	0%	37.8%

Cleveland Browns - Denver Broncos Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). Denver will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:19

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Denver has currently - 3-3, has a chance of playoffs (24%), has a very small chance of win division (5%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.3%), has a very small chance of win league (0.4%).

Cleveland has currently - 3-3, has a chance of playoffs (49%), has a small chance of win division (12%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Denver won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 71-100.

Including matches at home between the teams Denver won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
17.10.21	Cleveland Browns - Arizona Cardinals	14:37 ✺
10.10.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Cleveland Browns	47:42 ✺
03.10.21	Minnesota Vikings - Cleveland Browns	7:14 ✺
26.09.21	Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears	26:6 ✺
19.09.21	Cleveland Browns - Houston Texans	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Denver Broncos
NFL
17.10.21	Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders	24:34 ✺
10.10.21	Pittsburgh Steelers - Denver Broncos	27:19 ✺
03.10.21	Denver Broncos - Baltimore Ravens	7:23 ✺
26.09.21	Denver Broncos - New York Jets	26:0 ✺
19.09.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Denver Broncos	13:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
03.11.19	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	24:19
15.12.18	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	16:17
18.10.15	Cleveland Browns - Denver Broncos	23:26 OT
23.12.12	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	34:12

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