Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Cleveland Browns		Chicago Bears

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.7	2.2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.7	2.27
	1.69	2.29
	1.67	2.3
	1.72	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
57.3%

Chicago Bears
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: Cleveland Browns will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:18

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cleveland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 183-187.

Including matches at home between the teams Cleveland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 137-127.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
10.12.23	Cleveland Browns - Jacksonville Jaguars	31:27 ✺
03.12.23	Los Angeles Rams - Cleveland Browns	36:19 ✺
26.11.23	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	29:12 ✺
19.11.23	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	13:10 ✺
12.11.23	Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns	31:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- Chicago Bears
NFL
10.12.23	Chicago Bears - Detroit Lions	28:13 ✺
27.11.23	Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears	10:12 ✺
19.11.23	Detroit Lions - Chicago Bears	31:26 ✺
09.11.23	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	16:13 ✺
05.11.23	New Orleans Saints - Chicago Bears	24:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.08.22	Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears	20:21
26.09.21	Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears	26:6
24.12.17	Chicago Bears - Cleveland Browns	20:3
31.08.17	Chicago Bears - Cleveland Browns	0:25
01.09.16	Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears	7:21
03.09.15	Chicago Bears - Cleveland Browns	24:0
28.08.14	Cleveland Browns - Chicago Bears	33:13

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