Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 14

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Cleveland Browns		Jacksonville Jaguars

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.05
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.86	2.08
	1.86	2.05
	1.8	2.05
	1.83	2.01
	1.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.37)	2.04 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 35.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
52.9%

Jacksonville Jaguars
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Browns's performance.

Jacksonville Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacksonville Jaguars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Browns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacksonville Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Cleveland Browns - Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 63 - 91.3%). Jacksonville will win (votes: 6 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 84.6% – 98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:17

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 115-126.

Including matches at home between the teams Cleveland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 35-51.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
03.12.23	Los Angeles Rams - Cleveland Browns	36:19 ✺
26.11.23	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	29:12 ✺
19.11.23	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	13:10 ✺
12.11.23	Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns	31:33 ✺
05.11.23	Cleveland Browns - Arizona Cardinals	27:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW
- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
04.12.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cincinnati Bengals	31:34 OT ✺
26.11.23	Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars	21:24 ✺
19.11.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Tennessee Titans	34:14 ✺
12.11.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - San Francisco 49ers	3:34 ✺
29.10.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Jacksonville Jaguars	10:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
12.08.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cleveland Browns	13:24
14.08.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cleveland Browns	13:23
29.11.20	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cleveland Browns	25:27
19.11.17	Cleveland Browns - Jacksonville Jaguars	7:19
19.10.14	Jacksonville Jaguars - Cleveland Browns	24:6
01.12.13	Cleveland Browns - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:32

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