Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Cleveland Browns		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.88	1.44
	2.98	1.44
	2.88	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.43
	2.95	1.42
	2.88	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.12)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
33%

Kansas City Chiefs
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Cleveland Browns - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: Kansas City Chiefs will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
02:48, Smith-Schuster J. (Touchdown),
02:48, Butker H. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
10:14, Gray N. (Touchdown),
10:14, Butker H. (Extra Point),
14:36, Butker H. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
02:01, Worthy X. (Touchdown),
02:01, Butker H. (Extra Point),
11:44, Ford J. (Touchdown),
11:44, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 0.

Cleveland is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kansas City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kansas City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kansas City is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kansas City to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 159:172 (average 22.7:24.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cleveland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 51:44 (average 25.5:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
08.12.24	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cleveland Browns	27:14 ✺
02.12.24	Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns	41:32 ✺
21.11.24	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	24:19 ✺
17.11.24	New Orleans Saints - Cleveland Browns	35:14 ✺
03.11.24	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	10:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
08.12.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers	19:17 ✺
29.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	19:17 ✺
24.11.24	Carolina Panthers - Kansas City Chiefs	27:30 ✺
17.11.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	30:21 ✺
10.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	16:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.08.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	33:32
12.09.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	33:29
17.01.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	22:17
04.11.18	Cleveland Browns - Kansas City Chiefs	21:37
27.12.15	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	17:13
27.10.13	Kansas City Chiefs - Cleveland Browns	23:17
09.12.12	Cleveland Browns - Kansas City Chiefs	30:7

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