Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4


	Indianapolis Colts		Los Angeles Chargers

	1	2
	2.7	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.5
	2.71	1.51
	2.6	1.5
	2.68	1.53
	2.75	1.5
	2.43	1.58
	2.47	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.47)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN, ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
36.5%

Los Angeles Chargers
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Los Angeles Chargers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Chargers Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Indianapolis will win (votes: 9 - 30%). LA Chargers will win (votes: 21 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Chargers: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Indianapolis has currently - 4-9-1, has not chance of playoffs.

LA Chargers has currently - 8-6, has a good chance of playoffs (92%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has quality 40, small importance 11, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Indianapolis is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches LA Chargers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

LA Chargers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 59-71.

Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
17.12.22	Minnesota Vikings - Indianapolis Colts	39:36 OT ✺
04.12.22	Dallas Cowboys - Indianapolis Colts	54:19 ✺
28.11.22	Indianapolis Colts - Pittsburgh Steelers	17:24 ✺
20.11.22	Indianapolis Colts - Philadelphia Eagles	16:17 ✺
13.11.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts	20:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW
- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
18.12.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Tennessee Titans	17:14 ✺
11.12.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Miami Dolphins	23:17 ✺
04.12.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Los Angeles Chargers	27:20 ✺
27.11.22	Arizona Cardinals - Los Angeles Chargers	24:25 ✺
20.11.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.09.19	Los Angeles Chargers - Indianapolis Colts	30:24
25.09.16	Indianapolis Colts - Los Angeles Chargers	26:22
14.10.13	Los Angeles Chargers - Indianapolis Colts	19:9

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