Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 10

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise)


	Las Vegas Raiders		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	1.47	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.46	2.85
	1.46	2.75
	1.48	2.85
	1.47	2.85	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	2.75 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
65.2%

Indianapolis Colts
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indianapolis: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Las Vegas has currently - 2-6, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of win division (0.2%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Indianapolis has currently - 3-5-1, has a small chance of playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has very small quality 8, small importance 10, very small match rating 9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Las Vegas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 159-176.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 88-111.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
06.11.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Las Vegas Raiders	27:20 ✺
30.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Las Vegas Raiders	24:0 ✺
23.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	38:20 ✺
10.10.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	30:29 ✺
02.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
06.11.22	New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts	26:3 ✺
30.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Washington Commanders	16:17 ✺
23.10.22	Tennessee Titans - Indianapolis Colts	19:10 ✺
16.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	34:27 ✺
06.10.22	Denver Broncos - Indianapolis Colts	9:12 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
02.01.22	Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders	20:23
13.12.20	Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts	27:44
29.09.19	Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders	24:31
28.10.18	Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts	28:42
24.12.16	Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts	33:25
08.09.13	Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders	21:17

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