Match Info

NFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Brazil	ESPN 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports MAX 7, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Buffalo Bills

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.81	1.95
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.87	1.95
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.04)	1.95 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
51.3%

Buffalo Bills
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Buffalo Bills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	0%	67.7%

Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Buffalo (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Buffalo (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Bills will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 4 - 20%). Buffalo (votes: 16 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
07:31, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
14:55, Hardman M. (Touchdown),
14:55, Prater M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (17 - 3)
05:27, Crum F. (Touchdown),
05:27, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
12:43, Prater M. (Field Goal),
14:38, Humphrey L. (Touchdown),
14:38, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
14:58, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
03:21, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
08:11, Coleman K. (Touchdown),
08:11, Prater M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 13)
01:36, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
01:36, Prater M. (Extra Point),
10:46, Prater M. (Field Goal),
14:05, Mims M. (Touchdown),
14:05, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
14:50, Prater M. (Field Goal),
Overtime (3 - 0)
10:14, Lutz W. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Denver won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 108:206. (average 15.4:29.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:65. (average 21.5:32.5).

Outrights of NFL for now

Buffalo Bills: 10.45% Denver Broncos: 3.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
04.01.26	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	19:3 ✺
25.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	13:20 ✺
21.12.25	Denver Broncos - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:34 ✺
14.12.25	Denver Broncos - Green Bay Packers	34:26 ✺
07.12.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	17:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Buffalo Bills
NFL
11.01.26	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	24:27 ✺
04.01.26	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	35:8 ✺
28.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles	12:13 ✺
21.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Buffalo Bills	20:23 ✺
14.12.25	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	31:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
12.01.25	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	31:7
13.11.23	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	22:24
20.08.22	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	42:15
19.12.20	Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills	19:48
24.11.19	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	20:3
24.09.17	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	26:16
07.12.14	Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills	24:17

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