Match Info

NFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, RTL, RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, DAZN
Spain	Be Mad, DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	CBS Sports Network, CBS, Paramount+
World	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		New England Patriots

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	3.1	1.4
	2.67	1.45	Watch
	2.76	1.5
	2.68	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.85	1.44
	2.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.04)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
34.2%

New England Patriots
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	0%	70.4%

Denver Broncos - New England Patriots Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). New England will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 43, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 39.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5, OT - Denver (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New England Patriots will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 4 - 28.6%). New England (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
04:41, Sutton C. (Touchdown),
04:41, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
12:50, Maye D. (Touchdown),
12:50, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
14:36, Lutz W. (Missed Field Goal),
14:59, Borregales A. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
09:28, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
14:45, Borregales A. (Missed Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)
10:14, Lutz W. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 2.

Denver is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

New England is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Denver has had a series of home games.

New England is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in New England: DeVito T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in New England: Mapu M. (Neck Injury) Moses M. (Foot Injury)

We predict that New England will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Denver won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 209:261. (average 20.9:26.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:141. (average 19.7:23.5).

Outrights of NFL for now

Denver Broncos: 3.64% New England Patriots: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
17.01.26	Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills	33:30 OT ✺
04.01.26	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	19:3 ✺
25.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	13:20 ✺
21.12.25	Denver Broncos - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:34 ✺
14.12.25	Denver Broncos - Green Bay Packers	34:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- New England Patriots
NFL
18.01.26	New England Patriots - Houston Texans	28:16 ✺
11.01.26	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Chargers	16:3 ✺
04.01.26	New England Patriots - Miami Dolphins	38:10 ✺
28.12.25	New York Jets - New England Patriots	10:42 ✺
21.12.25	Baltimore Ravens - New England Patriots	24:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.12.23	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	23:26
18.10.20	New England Patriots - Denver Broncos	12:18
12.11.17	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	16:41
18.12.16	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	3:16
24.01.16	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	20:18
29.11.15	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	30:24 OT
02.11.14	New England Patriots - Denver Broncos	43:21

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