Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 16

Date: 24 December 2023, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	RTL
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Miami Dolphins		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.83	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.79	2.13
	1.79	2.13
	1.8	2.05
	1.82	2.02
	1.77	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	2.05 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
53.3%

Dallas Cowboys
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dallas Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Miami Dolphins - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Miami to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 92-170.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39-44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
17.12.23	Miami Dolphins - New York Jets	30:0 ✺
11.12.23	Miami Dolphins - Tennessee Titans	27:28 ✺
03.12.23	Washington Commanders - Miami Dolphins	15:45 ✺
24.11.23	New York Jets - Miami Dolphins	13:34 ✺
19.11.23	Miami Dolphins - Las Vegas Raiders	20:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
17.12.23	Buffalo Bills - Dallas Cowboys	31:10 ✺
10.12.23	Dallas Cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles	33:13 ✺
30.11.23	Dallas Cowboys - Seattle Seahawks	41:35 ✺
23.11.23	Dallas Cowboys - Washington Commanders	45:10 ✺
19.11.23	Carolina Panthers - Dallas Cowboys	10:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
22.09.19	Dallas Cowboys - Miami Dolphins	31:6
19.08.16	Dallas Cowboys - Miami Dolphins	41:14
22.11.15	Miami Dolphins - Dallas Cowboys	14:24
23.08.14	Miami Dolphins - Dallas Cowboys	25:20
04.08.13	Dallas Cowboys - Miami Dolphins	24:20
29.08.12	Dallas Cowboys - Miami Dolphins	30:13

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