Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Australia	ESPN 2
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	ESPN Deportes
World	NFL Game Pass


	Minnesota Vikings		Miami Dolphins

	1	2
	1.17	5.25	Watch
	1.18	4.96	Watch
	1.19	5.3
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.16	5.2
	1.17	5.25
	1.16	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.15)	5.19 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Vikings
81.6%

Miami Dolphins
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Vikings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Miami Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Minnesota Vikings - Miami Dolphins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +11.5, OT - Miami (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%). Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
07:04, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (6 - 0)
07:52, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
15:00, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 10)
03:04, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
07:25, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
14:49, Gordon O. (Touchdown),
14:49, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 0)
08:19, Reichard W. (Field Goal),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd and 16th).

In recent outings, Minnesota has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Miami is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Minnesota enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 109:100 (averaging 27.3:25 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 50:47 goals (averaging 25:23.5 per game).

Outrights of NFL for now

Minnesota Vikings: 3.22% Miami Dolphins: 0.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
27.09.26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Minnesota Vikings	16:23 ✺
20.09.26	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	3:9 ✺
13.09.26	Minnesota Vikings - Green Bay Packers	39:22 ✺
28.08.26	Denver Broncos - Minnesota Vikings	34:6 ✺
22.08.26	Minnesota Vikings - Baltimore Ravens	3:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL
- Miami Dolphins
NFL
27.09.26	Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs	10:24 ✺
20.09.26	San Francisco 49ers - Miami Dolphins	35:13 ✺
13.09.26	Las Vegas Raiders - Miami Dolphins	27:13 ✺
28.08.26	Miami Dolphins - Atlanta Falcons	12:17 ✺
22.08.26	Miami Dolphins - New York Giants	3:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
16.10.22	Miami Dolphins - Minnesota Vikings	16:24
16.12.18	Minnesota Vikings - Miami Dolphins	41:17
31.08.17	Minnesota Vikings - Miami Dolphins	9:30
21.12.14	Miami Dolphins - Minnesota Vikings	37:35

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