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Current Win Probability
New England Patriots 59.5%
Detroit Lions 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Patriots's performance.
Detroit Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Detroit Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Patriots that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Detroit Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
New England Patriots - Detroit Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
New England has currently - 1-3, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.5%), has a very small chance of win league (0.6%).
Detroit has currently - 1-3, has a small chance of playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (0.2%).
This event has very small quality8, importance33, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Recently New England have a series of guest games.
New England will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches New England won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 114-106.
Including matches at home between the teams New England won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 34-9.
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