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Current Win Probability
New England Patriots 58.9%
San Francisco 49ers 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
San Francisco 49ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco 49ers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.3%
0%
73.7%
New England Patriots - San Francisco 49ers Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). San Francisco will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Francisco: 59.7% – 87.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).
San Francisco has a chance of playoffs (38%), has a small chance of win division (6%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
New England has a chance of playoffs (42%), has a chance of win division (30%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
San Francisco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
San Francisco will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches San Francisco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 64-58.
Including matches at home between the teams San Francisco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34-41.