Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	New England Patriots		Tennessee Titans

	1	2
	1.3	3.65	Watch
	1.31	3.55
	1.33	3.6
	1.27	3.8
	1.33	3.58
	1.3	3.75
	1.3	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.59)	3.67 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
73.8%

Tennessee Titans
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Patriots's performance.

Tennessee Titans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tennessee Titans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Patriots that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tennessee Titans than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tennessee Titans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans Predictions

Users Predictions: New England Patriots will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:18

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1).

Tennessee has currently - 8-3, has a very good chance of playoffs (97%), has a good chance of win division (92%), has a chance of 1st-round bye (38%).

New England has currently - 7-4, has a good chance of playoffs (79%), has a chance of win division (36%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (13%).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Tennessee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Tennessee is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tennessee won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 147-114.

Including matches at home between the teams Tennessee won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 81-50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
18.11.21	Atlanta Falcons - New England Patriots	0:25 ✺
14.11.21	New England Patriots - Cleveland Browns	45:7 ✺
07.11.21	Carolina Panthers - New England Patriots	6:24 ✺
31.10.21	Los Angeles Chargers - New England Patriots	24:27 ✺
24.10.21	New England Patriots - New York Jets	54:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW
- Tennessee Titans
NFL
21.11.21	Tennessee Titans - Houston Texans	13:22 ✺
14.11.21	Tennessee Titans - New Orleans Saints	23:21 ✺
07.11.21	Los Angeles Rams - Tennessee Titans	16:28 ✺
31.10.21	Indianapolis Colts - Tennessee Titans	31:34 OT ✺
24.10.21	Tennessee Titans - Kansas City Chiefs	27:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
04.01.20	New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans	13:20
17.08.19	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	17:22
11.11.18	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	34:10
13.01.18	New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans	35:14
20.12.15	New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans	33:16
09.09.12	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	13:34

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